Electricity Generation from Renewable Sources: A Comparative Study of Türkiye and Japan
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Keywords:
Renewable Energy, Electrical Energy Production, Statistically Based Models, Time Series, Energy ForecastingAbstract
The study examines the trends in electricity generation from renewable sources in Türkiye and
Japan from 1965 to 2023. It aims to forecast future renewable energy production using statistical models,
comparing both countries' progress in renewable energy adoption. The data used for this analysis were
sourced from Our World in Data and converted into time series for modeling. Several forecasting models,
including AUTO.ARIMA, SES, ETS, TBATS, THETAF and Holt-Winters, were utilized to predict future
trends, with the most accurate predictions evaluated based on Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE)
values. Türkiye and Japan's renewable energy trends reflect significant growth, particularly post-2010,
with Japan showing a higher overall production.
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